East Asia Trough (EAT) index (Mu et al., 2000): MODES forecast -------------------------------------------------------------- Observation (NECP-I) 2017Nov -0.68 2017Dec -0.96 2018Jan -0.30 2018Feb -0.82 2018Mar 2.36 2018Apr 1.06 -------------------------------------------------------------- Prediction (MODES) -------------------------------------------------------------- * BCC CFS EC 2018May 1.80 1.43 1.55 2018Jun 1.04 0.37 1.69 2018Jul 2.28 0.91 1.98 2018Aug 0.55 0.70 1.41 2018Sep 0.96 0.91 1.06 2018Oct 0.42 0.90 1.39 2018Nov 0.39 0.14 1.31