East Asia Trough (EAT) index (Mu et al., 2000): MODES forecast -------------------------------------------------------------- Observation (NECP-I) 2017Sep -1.22 2017Oct 1.06 2017Nov -0.68 2017Dec -0.96 2018Jan -0.30 2018Feb -0.82 -------------------------------------------------------------- Prediction (MODES) -------------------------------------------------------------- * BCC CFS EC 2018Mar 3.15 1.71 1.55 2018Apr 0.27 0.81 0.59 2018May 1.00 1.50 1.15 2018Jun 0.32 1.41 1.83 2018Jul 0.94 1.51 2.30 2018Aug 0.88 1.17 1.53 2018Sep 0.62 1.06 1.33