East Asian Summer Monsoon (EASM) index (Zhang et al., 2003): MODES forecast --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Observation (NECP-I) 2017Sep -1.79 2017Oct 1.48 2017Nov -1.26 2017Dec 0.06 2018Jan 0.29 2018Feb -0.20 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Prediction (MODES) --------------------------------------------------------------------------- * BCC CFS EC 2018Mar 2.02 1.54 1.05 2018Apr 0.19 1.34 0.19 2018May 0.55 0.44 1.07 2018Jun 0.23 0.46 0.89 2018Jul 0.74 0.42 1.97 2018Aug 0.66 0.37 0.96 2018Sep 0.47 0.01 0.84